What guides our counterfactual development?
In summary, causation is the ancestral of counterfactual dependence.
One can accept a Counterfactual Motivation view without accepting HTR (e.g.
David Lewis is the best-known advocate of a counterfactual theory of causation.
For someone, Jones, to have counterfactual power over God’s past beliefs, the following must be true:
The third set of problems arises because the counterfactual test seems too lenient in what it counts as a cause.
Therefore, like the causal and counterfactual accounts, they have resources for avoiding unlimited pancomputationalism.
The resulting counterfactual analysis of causation faces a number of challenges—see counterfactual theories of causation for discussion and references.
In general, counterfactual reasoning is not easy to analyze, and this gives rise to difficulties when trying to understand quantum paradoxes stated in counterfactual form.
An utterance of (9) can only serve to express a counterfactual belief or thought about Chirac, i.e., the belief ascribing to Chirac the counterfactual property of being a Socialist.
This is because, as propositions are the objects that are true or false in counterfactual circumstances, if p = p*, then p and p* have the same truth value in all counterfactual circumstances.
It follows that this is a non-reductive analysis of counterfactual dependence: it only explains how the truth of arbitrarily complex counterfactual sentences are grounded in basic relations of counterfactual dependence.
This response leads to the counterfactual account of computation, according to which the counterfactual relations between the physical states must be isomorphic to the counterfactual relations between the computational states.
causation: counterfactual theories of | causation: the metaphysics of | conditionals | conditionals: counterfactual | decision theory | game theory | normative-theories-of-rational-choice:-expected-utility | prisoner’s dilemma | probability, interpretations of
By contrast, the expectation that (ii) for every true counterfactual there must be a truth maker that can be characterized in non-modal, non-counterfactual terms is a metaphysical doctrine that requires some independent argument; it does not follow just from (i).
The role of imagination in counterfactual reasoning—and, in particular, the question of what tends to be held constant when one contemplates counterfactual scenarios—has been explored in detail in recent philosophical and psychological works (Byrne 2005; Williamson 2005, 2007, 2016).
In other words, the pure counterfactual account requires the mapping between computational and physical descriptions to be such that the counterfactual relations between the physical states are isomorphic to the counterfactual relations between the computational states.
It is one thing to say that we do not know what would happen under a given counterfactual hypothesis; it is quite another thing to say, as the “counterfactual”-interpretation has it that the theory of obligationes does say, that what would happen depends in part on what we do know in fact.
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causation: and manipulability | causation: counterfactual theories of | causation: probabilistic | causation: the metaphysics of | conditionals: counterfactual | decision theory | decision theory: causal | logic: conditionals | probability, interpretations of | quantum theory: the Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen argument in | rational choice, normative: expected utility | Reichenbach, Hans: common cause principle
counterfactual
adj all
- going counter to the facts (usually as a hypothesis)
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causation and manipulability | causation counterfactual theories of | causation probabilistic | causation the metaphysics of | conditionals counterfactual | decision theory | decision theory causal | logic conditionals | probability interpretations of | quantum theory the Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen argument in | rational choice normative expected utility | Reichenbach Hans common cause principle